作者:
Yjizz (饒惹偶ㄚ激濕)
2026-08-20 13:35:17※ [本文轉錄自 Baseball 看板 #1gXbETOR ]
Which 1B are best at receiving throws? New data has the answer
哪一位一壘手最擅長接傳球?statcast全新數據給出了答案。
Most catches are routine, but who excels on the toughest plays?
大多數接球都很常態,但誰能在最艱難的防守中脫穎而出?
August 19th, 2026
Mike Petriello
https://www.mlb.com/news/breaking-down-first-base-throw-receiving-data
**文長,圖片網址為MLB原文連結-需用網頁全版開圖。
https://www.mlb.com/video/alec-burleson-s-strongest-scoops-of-2026
Through the first four-plus months of this season, St. Louis first baseman
Alec Burleson has recorded nearly 1,000 putouts. That sounds like a lot of
work, and it is; it’s the largest figure of any player in the Majors in
2026. That number, however, encompasses two very different parts of his job.
在這個賽季的前四個多月中,聖路易紅雀的一壘手 Alec Burleson 已經記錄了將近 1,000
次刺殺(putouts)。這聽起來是一項繁重的工作,事實也確實如此;這是 2026 年大聯
盟(Majors)所有球員中最高的數字。然而,這個數字包含了他工作中截然不同的兩個部
分。
Approximately 25% of that total is fielding batted balls, at which Burleson,
who had spent much of his time in the outfield in his previous three seasons
before becoming St. Louis’ primary first baseman in 2026, has been a
work-in-progress. His minus-4 Outs Above Average this year is adequate, but
mildly below average.
在總數中,大約有 25% 是處理擊出球的防守,而在 2026 年成為聖路易紅雀的主力一壘手
之前,Alec Burleson 在過去三個賽季的絕大部分時間都在外野度過,因此這項技術仍在
持續改進中。他今年 -4 的出局數超越預期值(Outs Above Average / OAA)算尚可,但
略低於平均水準。
The remaining 75% of those putouts, then, are about a first baseman’s other
big responsibility – catching throws from his infield mates. Given the
massive difference in opportunities, that would seem to be a far more
important skill, yet even that has a necessary breakdown within it. Some
large portions of that figure, one would assume, are fairly typical
on-the-money throws that any semi-competent professional first sacker would
be able to receive easily.
因此,剩餘 75% 的刺殺則關乎一壘手的另一個重大職責──接來自內野隊友的傳球。考慮
到機會次數的巨大差距,這似乎是一項重要得多的技能,但即使是這項技能,內部也有必
要進行細分。可以設想,這個數字中的很大一部分是相當典型的精準傳球,任何稍微合格
的職業一壘手(first sacker)都能輕鬆接住。
We haven’t really known, though. This aspect of a first baseman’s life has
been a blind spot in public Statcast data, and while other sites do publish
some information about ‘scoops,’ that’s only the number of successful
ones, and even then that’s only a small portion of the throws a first
baseman has to haul in, despite the outsized importance they receive.
不過,我們過去其實並不真正了解。一壘手生涯的這一維度過去一直是公開 Statcast 數
據中的盲點,雖然其他網站確實會發布一些關於「撈球/挖地瓜接球」(scoops)的資訊,
但那僅僅是成功接球的次數,而且即便如此,儘管這些傳球備受關注,也僅占一壘手必須
接住的傳球中的一小部分。
That, then, is the point of the latest Statcast metric at Baseball Savant,
which evaluates the performance of a first baseman at receiving the ball. It’
s about scoops, sure, but it’s a lot more than that. It’s about the
hundreds of throws a first baseman has to handle, and it’s about realizing
which one of them actually means much of anything.
這正是 Baseball Savant 最新 Statcast 數據指標的核心所在,該指標旨在評估一壘手在
接球方面的表現。當然,這與撈球(scoops)有關,但遠不止於此。這關乎一壘手必須處
理的數百次傳球,並且關乎釐清其中哪些傳球才真正具有重大意義。
The way this works is like most other Statcast metrics, which is to say that
it’s not just, “Did you make the play?” but also “... and how difficult
was that opportunity expected to be?” In the same way that a sinking liner
in the gap is much harder for an outfielder than a lazy can-of-corn pop fly,
a throw you have to catch on a short hop or well wide of the bag shouldn’t
be considered the same as an on-target no-brainer.
這項指標的運作方式與大多數其他 Statcast 指標類似,也就是說,它不僅僅衡量「你是
否完成了防守?」,還衡量「……該次防守機會預計的難度有多高?」。就像外野手處理
外野兩側空檔的平飛下沉球比處理輕鬆的沖天炮高飛球(can-of-corn pop fly)要困難得
多一樣,你必須靠彈跳接球(short hop)或偏離壘包很遠才能接到的傳球,不應被視為與
精準無虞的傳球同等對待。
Put those expectations on every play, accumulated over the course of the
season, and you’ll find out that the best receiving first baseman this year
is Burleson, who has added +6 Outs Above Average simply via being good at
collecting throws from JJ Wetherholt, Masyn Wynn, Blaze Jordan, and all the
rest.
將這些預期值應用到每一次防守中,並在整個賽季中累積,你會發現今年接傳球表現最出
色的一壘手是 Alec Burleson,他僅憑藉擅長接住來自 JJ Wetherholt、Masyn Wynn、
Blaze Jordan 以及其他所有隊友的傳球,就貢獻了 +6 的出局數超越預期值(Outs Above
Average / OAA)。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/v1787145626/mlb/wm0nynsl8bodwrofcipq.jpg
(Alec Burleson has compiled the most value in 2026 via receiving throws from
infielders.)
(Alec Burleson 在 2026 年透過接內野手傳球創造了最高的價值。)
This data is available going back to 2021, and there's a pair of extremely
satisfying names atop that cumulative list.
這項數據可以追溯到 2021 年,而在這份累積排行榜的頂端,出現了一對非常令人信服的
名字。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/cblueqrqpebudhtknmct.jpg
(Freddie Freeman narrowly edges out Matt Olson atop the 1B receiving value
board since 2021.)
(自 2021 年以來,Freddie Freeman 在一壘手接球價值榜上以微弱優勢險勝 Matt
Olson 佔據榜首。)
It’s true that Matt Olson and Freddie Freeman have played the most games of
any first basemen since 2021. It’s also almost certainly true that when
thinking about first basemen with the most shining defensive reputations over
the last decade, you’d think of that pair nearly immediately.
確實,自 2021 年以來,Matt Olson 和 Freddie Freeman 是所有一壘手中出賽場次最多
的兩位。同樣幾乎可以肯定的是,當你想到過去十年中防守聲譽最頂尖的一壘手時,你幾
乎會立刻想到這兩個人。
So: How does this work? The method is explained in more detail by MLB.com
Senior Data Architect Tom Tango here, but simply put: On each throw, the
location of the throw is accounted for, as well as the speed and location of
the batter running to first. Based on those inputs, we can see how often that
opportunity gets turned into an out. (That last part is important, because if
a runner is far away from first base, then a first baseman has more chance to
recover and get back to the bag. It's not all about the throw.)
那麼,這項數據是如何運作的?MLB.com Senior Data Architect Tom Tango 在此處更
詳細地解釋了這種方法,但簡單來說:每次傳球時,都會考慮傳球的位置,以及打者跑向
一壘的速度和位置。根據這些輸入條件,我們可以算出該次防守機會轉化為刺殺出局機率
。(最後這部分很重要,因為如果跑者距離一壘還很遠,一壘手就有更多機會修正防守並
回到壘包,這並不完全取決於傳球品質。)
That’s all taken into account at the moment the first baseman can actually
do anything about it, which is not the time the throw is unleashed, but the
time that the ball reaches an eight-foot perimeter around the first base bag,
which is roughly the stretching radius of an outstretched player. This is
entirely about, “What does the first baseman do with the opportunity he gets
near the bag?”
所有這些變數都會在一壘手真正能做出防守動作的那一刻被納入計算──那不是球被傳出
的瞬間,而是球抵達一壘壘包周圍 8 英尺範圍內的那一刻,這大約是一名球員伸手伸展所
能觸及的半徑。這完全關乎:「一壘手利用他在壘包附近獲得的機會做了什麼?」
For Burleson, those hundreds and hundreds of throws look like this:
對 Alec Burleson 來說,那數以百計的接球機會看起來就像這樣:
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/fzlphpmg1an8xtfemccr.jpg
(Every throw Burleson has seen in 2026, from top-down and left-side infielder
views.)
(Alec Burleson 在 2026 年面對的每一次傳球,分別從俯瞰與左側內野手視角呈現。)
In Burleson’s case, more than 80% of those throw chances have indeed been
those on-target, on-the-money ones, the kind like this that you’d generally
never pay attention to. He’s had 420 on-target chances, and 414 of those
have turned into outs. That's nearly 99%, but it collects him all of +2 OAA
for all of that effort.
以 Alec Burleson 為例,超過 80% 的傳球機會確實是那些到位且精準的傳球,也就是你
通常根本不會去注意到的那種。他獲得了 420 次精準傳球的機會,其中 414 次成功轉化
為刺殺出局。這幾乎達到了 99%,但所有這些努力僅為他累積了 +2 的出局數超越預期值
(Outs Above Average / OAA)。
If that doesn't seem like much, it shouldn't. After all, you’re endlessly
doing things like this, fielding a lightly-tossed throw where the runner is
more than 30 feet away from the base at the time it comes to you. It’s hard
to compile that much value on doing that.
如果這看起來不多,那也是正常的。畢竟你只是日復一日地處理這類防守──處理一次輕
輕拋出的傳球,當球到達你手中時,跑者距離壘包還有 30 多英尺遠。光靠做這些事本來
就很難累積太多價值。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/izrve9hw8mscqmqgqqip.jpg
The end result of that is a billion throws that look like this (which gain a
first baseman +0.01 out, or basically nothing) …
其最終結果就是有無數次像這樣的傳球(這只會讓一壘手獲得 +0.01 次出局數,基本上等
於沒有)……
https://www.mlb.com/video/jojo-romero-in-play-out-s-to-nick-fortes
… and many fewer that look like this (in which Burleson earned nearly +0.25
an out, since other first basemen failed to convert this opportunity about a
quarter of the time)
……以及少得多的像這樣的傳球(Alec Burleson 在這類防守中賺取了將近 +0.25 次出
局數,因為其他一壘手大約有四分之一的時間無法將這種機會轉化為刺殺出局)
https://www.mlb.com/video/dustin-may-in-play-out-s-to-sal-frelick
If you go further and break down throws into high, low, wide, on-target,
scoops, and bounces, you can get really granular about who does what.
如果你進一步將傳球細分為高球、低球、偏球、精準傳球、撈球/挖地瓜接球(scoops)
和彈跳球(bounces),你就能非常細緻地分析誰擅長處理什麼樣的球。
https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/t_16x9/t_w1536/mlb/airjc3g5ybpm1qpwmwop.jpg
(The various categories a throw to first base can fall into.)
(傳向一壘的傳球可能歸類的各種範疇。)
It turns out, Yuli Gurriel was the best at scoops and bounces dating back to
2021, and the long-limbed Freeman is the best at corralling both high and
wide throws. For just 2026, it's Houston's Christian Walker who has the most
scoops, at 10. Some of them look extremely smooth.
事實證明,追溯至 2021 年,Yuli Gurriel 最擅長處理撈球(scoops)和彈跳球(
bounces),而手長腳長的 Freddie Freeman 則最擅長抓下偏高和偏寬的傳球。單看
2026 年,休士頓太空人的 Christian Walker 以 10 次成功撈球(scoops)位居榜首,
其中有些動作看起來極其流暢。
https://www.mlb.com/video/bryan-king-in-play-out-s-to-masataka-yoshida
Thanks to that breakdown, we can bucket out every throw opportunity a first
baseman has received since the start of this data in 2021, and you’ll see
how few opportunities there really are for a first baseman to distinguish
himself.
多虧了這項細分,我們可以把自 2021 年該數據開始統計以來,一壘手接到的每一次傳球
機會進行歸類,而你會看到一壘手真正能脫穎而出的機會其實有多少。
Where are the throws that a first baseman has to receive?
一壘手必須接住的傳球落在哪裡?
- On Target 82% (精準到位)
- High 5% (偏高)
- Wide 5% (偏寬)
- Low 3% (偏低)
- Bounce 3% (彈跳球)
- Scoops 2% (撈球/挖地瓜接球)
Eight of 10 throws, in another words, should overwhelmingly become outs. (And
they are: 98% of on-target throws become on-target outs. Only two-thirds of
scoops do, but again scoops are much less frequent.)
換句話說,十次傳球中有八次絕大多數都應該變成刺殺出局。(事實也確實如此:98% 的
精準傳球都能順利造成出局;而撈球(scoops)只有三分之二能造成出局,但撈球出現的
頻率要低得多。)
This is mostly why scoops, as exciting as they are, don’t carry as much
value as you’d think – because they rarely ever happen. Pete Alonso has had
the most scoop opportunities of any first baseman this year, for example, but
even that is only 15, or fewer than once per week. (Remember that scoops and
bounces are separated here, because they’re different kinds of plays.)
這主要就是為什麼撈球(scoops)雖然精彩,卻沒有你想像中那麼高價值的理由──因為
它們極少發生。以 Pete Alonso 為例,他今年擁有所有一壘手中最多的撈球(scoop)機
會,但即便如此也只有 15 次,平均每週還不到一次。(請記住,這裡將撈球和彈跳球分
開計算,因為它們是不同類型的防守。)
Burleson, in the midst of a breakout hitting season, spoke about how he
approaches receiving throws in a video for Cardinals.com back in April.
正處於打擊爆發賽季的 Alec Burleson,早在四月份接受 Cardinals.com 的影片採訪時
,就曾談到他是如何看待和處理接傳球這項工作的。
https://www.mlb.com/video/burly-talks-1b
"It's an art,” Burleson told Jim Hayes. “You can say it's an art. [You
need] soft hands for sure, and there's not any pick that's the same as the
last. Depends on the runners, depends on who's throwing it, depends on where
it's coming from in the infield. You just take as many reps as you can in
practice."
「這是一門藝術,」Alec Burleson 告訴 Jim Hayes。「你絕對可以說這是一門藝術。你
肯定需要柔和的手感,而且沒有一次接低彈跳球(pick)是跟上一次完全相同的。這取決
於跑者是誰、取決於傳球者是誰,也取決於球是從內野的哪個位置傳過來的。你只能在練
習中盡可能多做幾次重複訓練。」
“You're reading the throw,” he also added. “You know who is running, so
you know how much time the infielder has, whether he's going to catch and go
– or [if] he's going to have a little bit of time.”
「你得去判讀那個傳球,」他補充道。「你知道誰在跑壘,所以你知道內野手有多少時間
,他是接到球就得立刻傳出,還是他能有一點充裕的時間。」
Which is great, because that kind of context is basically exactly what the
metric is looking for.
這太棒了,因為這種情境背景基本上正是這項數據指標所要尋找的。
Back in the first month of 2025, when Alonso was getting all sorts of praise
for this skill, then-Mets manager Carlos Mendoza issued a very high
compliment. "He’s probably the best in the game at it, to be honest with you,
” as told to Anthony DiComo. That, by this metric in 2024, was exactly
right. He was the best at it