作者:
Yjizz (饒惹偶ㄚ激濕)
2025-09-21 15:29:02MLB 季後賽晉級趨勢
(x=晉級季後賽 y=分區冠軍 WCGB=外卡差 STRK=連勝/敗場)
(DIV分區冠軍, POST季後賽, LDS/LCS/WS分區/聯盟/世界大賽 獲勝機率-Fangraph)
(後面季後賽機率有多組模型 且為變動 僅取一組供參考)
AL NEXT WIN WIN WIN WIN
LEADERS W L W% WCGB L10 STRK GAME DIV POST LDS LCS WS
藍鳥-E 89 66 .574 - 6-4 L4 @ 皇家 83.5% 100.0% 44.6% 22.1% 11.3%
水手-W 86 69 .555 - 9-1 W3 @ 鼓人 91.1% 99.5% 55.7% 30.7% 17.4%
老虎-C 85 70 .548 - 2-8 L5 vs 勇士 65.0% 86.3% 22.0% 9.3% 4.1%
AL
WILD NEXT WIN WIN WIN WIN
CARD W L W% WCGB L10 STRK GAME DIV POST LDS LCS WS
洋基 87 68 .561 +3.0 7-3 W1 @ 金鳥 15.6% 99.8% 35.8% 20.5% 12.0%
紅襪 85 70 .545 +1.0 5-5 W2 vs 光芒 0.9% 89.1% 18.6% 8.3% 4.0%
守護者 84 71 .542 - 10-0 W10 @ 雙城 35.0% 59.4% 9.3% 3.2% 1.2%
鼓人 84 71 .542 - 6-4 L2 vs 水手 8.9% 65.8% 14.0% 5.7% 2.4%