作者:
Yjizz (饒惹偶ㄚ激濕)
2025-09-16 23:25:20MLB 晉級趨勢
(x=晉級季後賽 y=分區冠軍 WCGB=外卡差 STRK=連勝/敗場)
(DIV分區冠軍, POST季後賽, LDS/LCS/WS分區/聯盟/世界大賽 獲勝機率-Fangraph)
(後面機率有多組模型 且為變動 僅取一組供參考)
AL NEXT WIN WIN WIN WIN
LEADERS W L W% WCGB L10 STRK GAME DIV POST LDS LCS WS
藍鳥-E 88 62 .587 - 7-3 W5 @ 光芒 97.3% 100.0% 47.2% 23.8% 11.3%
老虎-C 85 65 .567 - 5-5 W1 vs. 守護 98.5% 99.5% 39.5% 17.4% 7.5%
水手-W 82 68 .547 - 9-1 W9 @ 皇家 64.1% 97.2% 37.2% 21.2% 11.5%
AL
WILD NEXT WIN WIN WIN WIN
CARD W L W% WCGB L10 STRK GAME DIV POST LDS LCS WS
洋基 83 67 .553 +1.5 5-5 L2 @ 雙城 2.3% 98.9% 33.1% 18.9% 10.6%
紅襪 82 68 .547 +1.0 4-6 W1 vs. 勇士 0.4% 91.4% 18.6% 8.4% 3.8%
鼓人 82 69 .543 - 5-5 W1 vs. 條子 34.8% 82.6% 19.2% 8.4% 3.7%